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The Future's So Bright... (Or Is It?)

On August 4 the majority shareholders of the company which controls the company that I work for issued a Schedule 13D to the Securities and Exchange Commission which suggested that they were open to a potential sale of the business or other alternatives (FitzGerald, 2023). The form, like most of its kind, was not conclusive, despite media interpretation to the contrary, the majority shareholders did not commit to a sale or to taking any action with respect to the company. All the same, the event caused me to engage in my own form of scenario planning, where in the past I had practiced traditional forecasting with respect to my prospects at the company. The process of scenario planning produces “a portfolio of future scenarios, each representing a different way your … landscape could look in a few years” (Wade, 2012). This approach does not attempt to evolve the current environment along known axes, rather it identifies a range of potential scenarios which might plausibly emerge given t...
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